Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1141.243842 1288.965424 1450.933613 1642.090998 1862.026388 2107.720638 2403.779072
2025-12-07 884.527418 1076.583178 1305.585246 1600.383233 1972.132645 2428.383032 3035.389124
2025-12-14 737.312545 942.992467 1202.372989 1556.573094 2032.423162 2656.322548 3547.369395
2025-12-21 630.723742 838.596756 1112.575603 1504.738615 2059.212888 2826.538466 3988.824916
2025-12-28 583.729303 803.667924 1105.343604 1556.100398 2224.166843 3196.424232 4753.247108
2026-01-04 537.386536 762.541096 1082.265675 1578.334245 2344.879166 3511.829521 5476.745606
2026-01-11 495.815134 722.719271 1055.070713 1588.541503 2444.733220 3803.093362 6199.416253
2026-01-18 459.877040 686.919693 1029.014970 1595.539809 2537.281725 4090.112340 6952.659409
2026-01-25 436.362100 667.273691 1024.812816 1635.125529 2685.085431 4483.397436 7946.725839
2026-02-01 412.950170 645.250056 1014.100409 1661.688918 2812.120338 4854.341195 8954.566387
2026-02-08 389.743986 621.240359 997.473701 1675.564057 2916.980009 5196.485790 9958.244375
2026-02-15 369.245843 599.751271 982.734586 1690.454001 3024.055537 5554.107548 11047.422071
2026-02-22 352.241613 583.244063 975.834296 1720.231959 3165.567982 6002.693497 12418.590130
2026-03-01 324.901433 546.777020 931.142985 1676.087849 3160.001764 6159.640220 13187.057541
2026-03-08 300.142007 512.814682 887.891337 1629.948898 3144.291480 6292.016372 13920.094316
2026-03-15 276.639680 479.292804 842.650039 1575.365495 3104.698055 6367.700699 14531.526650
2026-03-22 269.869668 475.628483 852.125895 1629.451019 3297.929531 6975.955965 16555.648626
2026-03-29 259.628734 464.679215 846.824608 1652.867527 3427.712619 7459.263968 18357.999646
2026-04-05 248.648720 451.474728 836.022194 1663.618444 3530.438624 7893.570390 20117.368034
2026-04-12 238.117877 438.337885 824.240966 1670.989752 3626.104637 8324.078938 21954.578203
2026-04-19 231.996644 433.327082 828.200824 1712.689261 3806.608793 8990.654600 24613.675462
2026-04-26 224.816556 425.671143 826.112775 1740.674758 3957.622349 9604.657189 27255.225750
2026-05-03 216.791081 415.731200 818.484054 1755.293881 4077.516875 10154.854840 29825.879604